The Complete Professional Football Analyst

Copyright; Pitlak Group; 2001, 2002

Following is a summary of how the CPFA program has done since the 1995 NFL season, as well as a typical week's forecast. As you will see, it hasn't had a losing season in the last 13 years, although it came very close to one in 2002. However, it has shown an average Return on Investment (ROI) of 23.9% over this period (based on the profit earned divided by the total value of all losing bets), with a remarkable 53.5% high and a comfortable 38.6% ROI last season (2007)!

Overall Record
1995 - 2007
Year Wins Losses Pushes $Profit* ROI*
1995
57
35
1
185
 48.1%
1996
109
81
2
199
 22.3%
1997
99
81
9
99
 11.1%
1998
95
65
4
235
 32.9%
1999
79
65
9
75
 10.5%
2000
94
75
3
115
 13.9%
2001
112
91
6
119
 11.9%
2002
103
93
3
7
 6.8%
2003
76
45
7
265
 53.5%
2004
108
66
4
354
 48.7%
2005
86
60
6
200
 30.3%
2006
84
59
8
191
 29.4%
2007
93
61
9
259
 38.6%
Overall
1195
877
71
2303
23.9%

Profits are based on Bets of $10 on each selected game, with a 10% "vig" (meaning you lose $11 on each $10 bet lost). The Return on Investment is based on the amount of profit (#wins x $10 minus #losses x $11) divided by #losses x $11)


And here's what a typical forecast looks like
(from Week 17, 2000 season)

Handicapping Factors in Use
LastGame/FirstGame = 1.040737 Rush/Pass = 1.511737 Offense/Defense = .8095362
Home Team Advt = 13.55854 Line to Bet: 5.5

NFL 2000 - Week No. 17
Teams

Line

CPFA Line

CPFA Pick

Score

Result

JACKSONVILLE
N.Y.GIANTS
4.5
10.2
GIANTS 		25
28
Lost
SAN FRANCISCO
DENVER
7
13.4
BRONCOS 		9
38
WON
ARIZONA
WASHINGTON
7
2.2 		NO BET 3
20 		- - - - -
KANSAS CITY
ATLANTA 		3

 		5.8

 		NO BET 13
29 		- - - -
CHICAGO
DETROIT
10
10.7 		NO BET 23
20 		- - - -
TAMPA BAY
GREEN BAY
2.5
10.2
PACKERS 		14
17
WON
MIAMI
NEW ENGLAND 		4
3.4
PATS 		27
24
WON
ST. LOUIS
NEW ORLEANS 		3.5
13.7
SAINTS 		26
21
Lost
CINCINNATI
PHILADELPHIA
10.5 		4.4

 		BENGALS

 		7
16 		WON

N.Y.JETS
BALTIMORE
5.5
18.6
RAVENS 		20
34
WON
PITTSBURGH
SAN DIEGO 		3
6.8
CHARGERS 		34
21
Lost
MINNESOTA
INDIANAPOLIS
4.5
3.6 		NO BET 10
31 		- - - -
CAROLINA
OAKLAND
9
20.3
RAIDERS 		9
52
WON
BUFFALO
SEATTLE
3
21.3
SEATTLE 		42
23
Lost
DALLAS
TENNESSEE
13.5
24.3
TITANS 		0
31
WON

WON 7 / LOST 4

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