PC Tools for the Thoroughbred Handicapper

a book by Bob Pitlak

There are a huge number of variables that can affect the outcome of a horse race. The serious handicapper has to deal with them one way or another. The objective of this book is not to develop a handicapping "system," but to offer a number of tools that can relieve you from tedious manual calculations or check lists. It does this by describing and explaining a set of more than 25 different spreadsheets and PC programs. These range from simple odds/probabilities calculations to creating a personal odds line, to analyzing exactas, to correlation and regression analysis. What's more, all of these are available as free downloads from the internet.

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Here are the contents of this 164 page book:


Item

Subject

Page

Introduction

 

1

Chapter 1

Odds and Probabilities
The False Favorite
Estimated Value of a Wager
Coupled Betting Entries

3

Chapter 2

The Win Percentage
The Average Payoff
Monte Carlo Simulation
Losing Streaks

17

Chapter 3

When to Bet the Mortgage
Jockey Database

31

Chapter 4

Betting for Value
Making an Intuitive Odds Line
Making an Analytical Odds Line
How Good are Your Odds?

43

Chapter 5

A Racing Database
Getting Information Out of Data
Making Data More Meaningful

58

Chapter 6

Sartin Method
The Velocity Calculations
Interpretation

71

Chapter 7

The Case for Exotics
Analyzing Exactas
Exacta Bets in Chaos Races
Analyzing Daily Doubles

81

Chapter 8

Tracking Your Wagers
More Exacta Analysis
More on Favorites

97

Chapter 9

Trainer/Jockey Combinations
Creating Your Own Data
Using Your Data

109

Chapter 10

Correlation and Regression Analysis
Meaningful Relationships
Multiple Regression

123

Chapter 11

Quantifying Class
Optimal wagering

143

Conclusion

 

159

The book is available at Barnesandnoble.com and Amazon.com at a discounted price from the MSRP of $24.95. We have already sold out our initial inventory, but can still supply the book at a lower price than these discount houses. only $18.50 . However, the publisher will print copies only on order, so, depending on when your order comes in, it can take as much as 2 weeks for us to ship your order.

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